Hi guys,
yesterday both of my picks were losses. Mavericks were playing really well in the first half, but they couldnt keep up with the Warriors in the 3rd and 4th quarter. I had also one lean (a bet, that is close to meeting my criteria), but it was also a loss, because they lost in Overtime by 6 points (I had Charlotte Hornets at +4).
But, today is another day, and let's see how my projected lines look like:
I really like the fact, that in most of the games, my numbers and the bookies numbers are very similar, almost identical. That means that my betting model is kind of OK, we still have to wait for more results to see, if I am finding a bit of an edge over the bookies with this. Only one thing is meeting my criteria today and it is:
LA Clippers/Detroit Pistons Under 220.5
Today I dont even have other matches that are coming close to meeting the criteria. If you have some other information that makes you want to take Bulls +7.5 or Under 217.5 in the same match, you can look at my numbers, there is some kind of difference, but that is not enough for me, not even for a "lean". I will call them LEANS, the picks that are close to meeting my criteria for a bet.
One other thing, I would like to mention. Cleveland Cavaliers traded some players in the past few days, be careful when betting on them. If youre calculating your lines yourself, you might see some kind of a difference (although there is no difference in my model), just keep in mind, they will play together for the first time. Maybe the new players will be really motivated, maybe the team chemistry just wont work. I recommend to stay away from that game.
Ok, to wrap it up, I have one pick today, no leans, and stay away from Cavaliers/Hawks game.
Good luck, fellow bettors. See you tomorrow.
Fyahm
Great analysis keep it coming. I also give picks too. You should join @sportsteem they track picks and have contests.
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thanks, I will definitely check it out
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Amazing stuff!
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