STEEM Analysis PRICE AUGUST 2018 @dwhntx & @rkreddy

𝐖𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐢 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐦𝐲 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬 𝐰𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐒𝐓𝐄𝐄𝐌 𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐜𝐡𝐞𝐝 $𝟏.𝟐𝟎 𝐢 𝐰𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚𝐬𝐤𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐝𝐨 𝐚 𝐫𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐰𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐒𝐓𝐄𝐄𝐌 𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐛𝐞 𝐡𝐞𝐚𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐛𝐲 𝐀𝐮𝐠𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟖

by @dwhntx & @rkreddy
(My apologies that it took longer than I expected to the two of you, but I have been busy.)

So without further ado, I took it upon myself to figure it out, I'm fully aware that this is nearly an impossible task but this is to illustrate the potential in the coming year(s).

First, we are gonna have to look at a few things before we can start.

• Daily Active Users
• Daily Amount of Posts
• Daily New Members

I created graphs where you can see the current stats of each

First, we will be looking at the Daily Active users which are important for the way STEEM grows of course. At this moment STEEM has 𝟐𝟖𝟒❟𝟏𝟔𝟖 𝐌𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫𝐬. So we have almost reached 300k

In the above picture, we can see that only a fraction is active, we need to understand that each member probably has 𝟏 𝐞𝐱𝐭𝐫𝐚 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭 as well, only 𝟖.𝟒𝟓% of the 𝟏𝟎𝟎% is active on a daily basis.

This can fluctuate from day to day of course but to keep it simple

• 𝟐𝟒𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝐌𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫𝐬 as our current outcome for Daily Activity.
• 𝟖% of Active Members out of 𝟏𝟎𝟎%

Second, we will be taking a look at the amount of posts as to connect the Active Members to the amount that is coming through. We will add the Percentage according to the amount.

𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟬: 15,800 𝙋𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙨 𝙗𝙮 24,741 𝙈𝙚𝙢𝙗𝙚𝙧𝙨 - 63.86% 𝘼𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙫𝙞𝙩𝙮
𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟭: 17,048 𝙋𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙨 𝙗𝙮 24,618 𝙈𝙚𝙢𝙗𝙚𝙧𝙨 - 69.25% 𝘼𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙫𝙞𝙩𝙮
𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟮: 16,443 𝙋𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙨 𝙗𝙮 22,888 𝙈𝙚𝙢𝙗𝙚𝙧𝙨 - 71.84% 𝘼𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙫𝙞𝙩𝙮
𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟯: 16,217 𝙋𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙨 𝙗𝙮 21,478 𝙈𝙚𝙢𝙗𝙚𝙧𝙨 - 75.51% 𝘼𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙫𝙞𝙩𝙮
𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟰: 18,388 𝙋𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙨 𝙗𝙮 23,171 𝙈𝙚𝙢𝙗𝙚𝙧𝙨 - 79.36% 𝘼𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙫𝙞𝙩𝙮
𝗝𝘂𝗹𝘆 𝟮𝟱: 18,688 𝙋𝙤𝙨𝙩𝙨 𝙗𝙮 26,299 𝙈𝙚𝙢𝙗𝙚𝙧𝙨 - 71.06% 𝘼𝙘𝙩𝙞𝙫𝙞𝙩𝙮

So now we can see that over 𝟔𝟎%-𝟕𝟎% of the Users are Active.
We will be taking 𝟏𝟓❟𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝐏𝐨𝐬𝐭𝐬 as our average.

Thirdly we are now gonna look at how many users join the Steemit Network on a Daily Basis.

We can see that we get an estimate of around 𝟐𝟎𝟎𝟎-𝟑𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝐌𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫𝐬 on average on a 𝘿𝙖𝙞𝙡𝙮 𝙗𝙖𝙨𝙞𝙨. We are gonna take 𝟐𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝐍𝐞𝐰 𝐔𝐬𝐞𝐫𝐬 as our average.

Sᴏ ɴᴏᴡ ᴡᴇ ʜᴀᴠᴇ ᴇɴᴏᴜɢʜ ᴅᴀᴛᴀ ᴛᴏ ᴋɪɴᴅᴀ sᴇᴇ ᴡʜɪᴄʜ ᴅɪʀᴇᴄᴛɪᴏɴ ᴛʜɪs ᴄᴏᴜʟᴅ ɢᴏ, ᴘʟᴇᴀsᴇ ᴜɴᴅᴇʀsᴛᴀɴᴅ I ᴄᴏᴜʟᴅ ᴀʟsᴏ ᴍᴀᴋᴇ ᴄᴀʟᴄᴜʟᴀᴛɪᴏɴs ᴏɴ ᴛʜᴇ ᴠᴏʟᴜᴍᴇ ᴡʜɪᴄʜ ᴘʟᴀʏs ᴀ ᴍᴀᴊᴏʀ ʀᴏʟᴇ, ʙᴜᴛ ɪᴍ ɴᴏᴛ ɢᴏɴɴᴀ ɪɴᴄʟᴜᴅᴇ ᴛʜɪs, ꜰᴏʀ ᴛʜɪs ᴄᴀɴ ʜɪɢʜʟʏ ꜰʟᴜᴄᴛᴜᴀᴛᴇ ᴀɴᴅ ᴛʜᴇ ᴍᴀʀᴋᴇᴛ ɪs ᴀʟᴡᴀʏs ᴄʜᴀɴɢɪɴɢ sᴏ ᴡᴇ ʜᴀᴠᴇ ᴛᴀᴋᴇɴ ᴛʜᴀᴛ ᴡʜɪᴄʜ ᴡᴇ ᴄᴀɴ ᴡᴏʀᴋ ᴡɪᴛʜ ᴛᴏ ᴅᴇᴛᴇʀᴍɪɴᴇ ᴀ ᴘᴏssɪʙʟᴇ ᴘʀɪᴄᴇ ꜰᴏʀ STEEM.

The Following is my Personal Current Projection of the Future Stats and Price for STEEM in August 2018.

𝟑𝟏 𝐀𝐮𝐠𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟕
Members: 𝟐𝟖𝟒❟𝟏𝟔𝟖
Daily Posts: 𝟏𝟓❟𝟎𝟎𝟎
Daily New Users: 𝟐𝟎𝟎𝟎
Price STEEM: $𝟏.𝟐𝟎

This is what we know and we will now take a look at the possible projection:

𝟑𝟏 𝐀𝐮𝐠𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟖
Members: 𝟏❟𝟎𝟏𝟒❟𝟏𝟔𝟖 Increase of 𝟑𝟓𝟔.𝟖𝟗%
Daily Posts: 𝟓𝟑❟𝟓𝟑𝟑 Increase of 𝟑𝟓𝟔.𝟖𝟗%
Daily New Users: 𝐔𝐧𝐤𝐧𝐨𝐰𝐧
Price of STEEM: $𝟒.𝟐𝟖

We reached this conclusion basing it on the User base, so the $𝟒.𝟐𝟖 projection is the natural flow if things progress naturally.

But when we take into account that All of these users will be doing transactions buying steem and selling it. and telling even more people. We would Definitely be looking at a price of around $𝟖.𝟎𝟎 - $𝟏𝟎.𝟎𝟎 𝐁𝐲 𝐀𝐮𝐠𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝟐𝟎𝟏𝟖.

And to give you an idea about the 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓 𝐓𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐞 that I have been speaking about quite a lot, which marks the beginning of 𝘾𝙧𝙮𝙥𝙩𝙤 𝘾𝙪𝙧𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙘𝙞𝙚𝙨 𝙗𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙢𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙢𝙖𝙞𝙣𝙨𝙩𝙧𝙚𝙖𝙢.

Which will give us the result that STEEM will be going to the moon.
I made an extra little projection for 2025 with the same current Stats that we have available.

𝟑𝟏 𝐀𝐮𝐠𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓
Members: 𝟔❟𝟏𝟐𝟒❟𝟏𝟔𝟖 Increase of 𝟐𝟏𝟓𝟓.𝟏𝟐% since 2017
Daily Posts: 𝟑𝟐𝟑❟𝟐𝟔𝟖 Increase of 𝟐𝟏𝟓𝟓.𝟏𝟐% since 2017
Daily New Users: 𝐔𝐧𝐤𝐧𝐨𝐰𝐧
Price of STEEM: $𝟐𝟓❟𝟖𝟔

We can conclude that STEEMIT has barely just begun and that those who are gonna join after us will also be very profitable, consider yourself lucky that you found STEEMIT this early, because it will change your life!

Aʟʟ ᴏꜰ ᴛʜɪs ɪs ᴍᴇʀᴇʟʏ ᴘʀᴏʙᴀʙɪʟɪᴛʏ ᴀɴᴅ ᴡᴇᴛʜᴇʀ ᴏʀ ɴᴏᴛ ᴛʜɪs ɪs 100% ᴄᴏʀʀᴇᴄᴛ ɪ ᴡɪʟʟ ɴᴏᴛ ᴅᴇᴄɪᴅᴇ. ᴘʟᴇᴀsᴇ ᴋɴᴏᴡ ɪᴍ ɴᴏᴛ a ᴍᴀᴛʜ ɢᴇɴɪᴜs. ɪ ʜᴏᴘᴇ ʏᴏᴜ ᴇɴᴊᴏʏᴇᴅ ᴍʏ ᴘᴏsᴛ. ᴀɴᴅ ᴛʜᴀᴛ ʏᴏᴜ ꜰɪɴᴅ ɪᴛ ɪɴꜰᴏʀᴍᴀᴛɪᴠᴇ ᴀɴᴅ ᴘᴇʀᴄᴇᴘᴛɪᴠᴇ ᴇɴᴏᴜɢʜ ᴛᴏ ʟᴏᴏᴋ ꜰᴏʀᴡᴀʀᴅ ᴛᴏ ᴛʜᴇ ꜰᴜᴛᴜʀᴇ. ᴛʜᴀɴᴋ ʏᴏᴜ ꜰᴏʀ ʀᴇᴀᴅɪɴɢ ᴍʏ ᴀɴᴀʟʏsɪs ᴏɴ ᴘᴏssɪʙʟᴇ ᴘʀɪᴄᴇ ᴘʀᴏᴊᴇᴄᴛɪᴏɴ.

ᴘʟᴇᴀsᴇ ꜰᴏʟʟᴏᴡ - ᴠᴏᴛᴇ - ʀᴇsᴛᴇᴇᴍ