Please bear in mind I do not give financial advice only telling you what I am doing.
I am not one of those people who believes BTC is in trouble. While those who are bearish on BTC have valid points about the speed of the network and the cost of transaction, I really do not think any of that matters. Wall Street is on the way and they speak a different language. ROI, liquidity, and 20/2 are what hedge fund managers understand. They are not going to discuss block size, transmission speed, or side chains to their clients. That is not how you get a 7 or 8 figure check out of someone.
My forecast was that we would see a $1.5T market cap by the end of 2018. Since we already crossed the $400B level, that might be low. Whatever the number ends up being, Wall Street is going to push a few trillion at this market over the next couple years. That is bitcoin's strength. Bitcoin has the name recognition and the liquidity to make it something Wall Street can sell. I expect Bitcoin to get a large portion of the Wall Street money.
So why did I sell some of my bitcoin last night? To start, I had a decent gain. It is never a bad idea to take profits off the table. That is what I did. However, I was fully confident in leaving my money in BTC for the long term.
In 2018, I can see a price on BTC of $50,000; 70.000; even 90,000. There is no reason why BTC cannot see a 3-5 multiple next year. Even with the big run up in 2017, these numbers are not outrageous when you consider the Wall Street money entering the picture.
What I do not foresee for BTC is a 50 or 100 times gain in 2018. There is no way that BTC will hit $500K in the coming year. While a 300%-500% return is outstanding, in the cryptocurrency world, that is minimal gain. The reason I took money out of bitcoin last night is because I feel that there are a couple tokens that are capable of yielding the return I am talking about here.
The first coin I entered was to power up with some SP. It is no secret that I am uber-bullish on this blockchain. My projection of $100 by the end of 2018 still stands. From these levels, that is roughly 75 times gain.
Another advantage to buying SP is that it enhances the entire network. Everything I do on steemit is now more potent because of the added VP. Not only should this help myself, it also enhances the ones I interact with. This is a winning formula in my view.
The other coin I bought was bitshares. For those who follow @haejin, you know he is over the moon about this one. There is nothing that excited him more than bitshares and he is extremely bullish on most tokens that he charts. This is saying something.
I also love the fact that it is a de-centralized exchange looking to replace many aspects of the financial industry. Barely a day goes by that we do not hear about some country threatening regulation. I have complete confidence that the banksters will push government regulators (read hacks) into over stepping the bounds and creating onerous regulations. This will ultimately force people to move to those exchanges that are outside the regulators control, i.e. de-centralized exchanges.
Sometimes bullishness is trumped by uber-bullishnes. I know that BTC kept going up while BTS stalled and STEEM pulled back. Timing markets perfectly is near impossible. Besides, I am in these for the long haul so missing a couple dollars is not the end of the world.
If you are on this platform, I do not think it is a mistake to add to your holdings. STEEM is one of the few coins where one can directly influence what kind of return he or she gets. The Proof-of-Brain concept enables all of us to add more STEEM without buying them. To me, this is a very enticing aspect. Also, SMTs are going to change the publishing/content creation via many ICOs. We all saw how ETH jumped due to the ERC20 protocol. Believe it or not, SMTs offer even more advantages than ERC20s do.
Oh, as an aside, the STEEM network is lightning fast compared to both BTC and ETH. The recent troubles in transmission speed by those blockchains would not even have steem or BTS breathing hard. This blockchain has a ton of room to grow.
If you liked this article and found it informative, please give it an upvote and a re-steem.
Pictures by google images
"It is never a bad idea to take profits off the table. "
I agree. It's also good to have a trading stack for short-term opportunities and a long-term investment stack. That way one doesn't feel like missing out in the case of multi-month bull market like the ones we're seeing in BTC right now.
A lot of newbie investors try to time the top and then proceed to kick themselves for selling too early.
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Good time to sell some BTC. Any time something does a 10x is a good time to take profits.
Sell strength, and buy weakness in strong prospects that are irrationally oversold! That's a long term winner.
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They use to say "Sell it all and buy bitcoin".
Now it is "Sell it all and buy bitshares".
By the way my friend, sold some of my ETH this morning and bought....you guessed it, BTS.
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I really need to look into Bitshares more as I have no idea about it, I've heard great things though and I know it was built by Dan Larimer. I kind of feel like Eos is likely to be a bigger platform long term than either STEEM or Bitshares, after all, couldnt both of them be built on EOS along with many other apps?
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It appears to me that each has its niche. The steem blockchain is content creation....bitshares meant to take the entire financial sector, and EOS to take everything else.
I would not be surprised if they were all cross bred and interoperable in a short period of time.
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Bitshares and EOS will be, 2 rivers next to each other with a lot of bridges and communal flows
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I hope you are right...I think it makes sense...EOS can help the value of BTS.
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It is not my saying, i picked that up from bitshares discord server today so there is some plan out there...
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Bts. Eos. Steem for life. Hang bankers. !!!!!!
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I am missing EOS @tt-dogg but that is okay....I believe the other two will make me a millionaire.
And yes those three tokens could really mess up a bankers day. What is funny, they attack BTC, which is justified, but BTC is nowhere near the threat to the banking industry that BTS is. BTC just handles transactions...BTS can handle almost everything a bank does....including running entire exchanges.
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eos will also make corrupt government and corrupt lawyers obsolete...
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Man, you're really selling me on BTS!
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Welcome to the Church of Dan....
STEEM, BTS, and EOS next.
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How do you get some and use them?
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bitshares.org
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Do you think it's worth holiding all in Steem Power though or some in Steem? Just in terms of liquidity, would it not make more sense to keep a portion of it in Steem rather than having it all locked in and dependent on the Power Down schedule.
still learning, genuinely curious
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powering it up avoids inflation....i personally like that it forces you to wait as it prevents me from dumping and jumping ship to another coin
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Why can't I understand how this stuff works even though I read a tutorial on it?
I'm still mytified by all of the terms...
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Also, powering up gives voting power, you can vote your favorite contents, and earn curation. You will also earn 2% APR in your SP. Or, you can delegate SP for different purposes. If you are a trader then liquid STEEM is better option since you can always transfer to exchanges. You can check your voting power at https://www.steemnow.com/
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I prefer SP for a couple reasons.
Like @tt-dogg said, it avoids inflation since SP owners are compensated for the inflation rate.
Also, it adds to you voting power which helps your return since it makes all your votes worth more.
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I'd say just keep the SBD you get as rewards and let it be your liquidity. STEEM has way too much room to grow. So don't power down yet. Instead you can HODL your SBD. Over time it should provide decent liquidity.
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#ilovesmebitshares <3
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30k bitcoin next year
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I love bitshares and eos but find it hard to sell my bitcoin. Guess I'm just a chronic hodler. ;)
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I would be taking profit now. I still hold Litecoin but the BTC shorts on the exchanges are going to try and hit it hard. Could help the bounce though.
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My understanding is LTC is also going to be on the futures exchange...but I could be wrong about that.
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Probably, I wouldn't be touching either on the short side. The largest bull market ever, without counting hyperinflation is not a time to go short, but they do have big bucks, so let's see.
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I actually really liked reading this because I'm super new to the world of cryptoinvesting and I actually got nervous today and pulled all my money out of crypto. I'm going to be travelling all of next week and it's a confusing time for Bitcoin... 50% of people are saying Bitcoin is invincible and 50% are sure it's going to crash hard... as a new and nervous investor I think I'd prefer to wait a week and spend some quality time studying the different investment opportunities.
This article just seems really reasonable, and I appreciate the level-headedness.
I've made 25% clear profit on my investment, so I think I'll just enjoy that for a moment and see what happens.
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HODL...hold on for dear life.
Crypto can be very volatile.....timing the market is tough.
I went to a crypto meeting tonight and BTC went up over $1,000 during those two hours.
Find good coins you believe in, put you money in, and ignore the noise. Do not fret 40% pullbacks, they are common in this arena.
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What you're saying is absolutely correct... and I totally hear you... AND I've been holding through all sorts of volatile times... Firstly, I'm already out... so your advice, while heard is unfortunately too late... but secondly, BTC is in a crazy unpredictable space right now, and it's effect on the entire cryto market is unknown. It might continue to suck money away from alts, it might settle into a groove, it might collapse taking the alts with it. I just feel safer now, and I'll re-evaluate the market once I finish travelling and Futures will be a bit more of a known quantity.
What you're saying is ordinarily true, I'm just not super sure if these are ordinary times. (If this is the new ordinary then I'll have learnt a lesson - whichever way it plays it's all good).
Thank you for your reply though, I really appreciate it.
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I ditched most of my btc as well, and it's exacting revenge for me but taking an insane amount of time to transfer. That and I paid over $22 in tx fees. I'm not saying I'll never have btc again, but I certainly need to take a break.
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that is damn true..
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I have observed that you switched to 50-50 reward. Interestingly, it is giving bloggers 400% reward. What will be implication of it? My assumption is that people will convert SBD to STEEM aggressively and STEEM price should rise too :)
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I've been converting my 50/50 sbd to steem to SP over the last week or so. Today I sold all the sbd I had (5 SBD haha) to 30 steem(power). Incredible ratio, and makes me glad I changed to 50/50 a month or two ago.
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Yes I did switch. While SBD is prices so high, it is well worth it...
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I'm converting too, getting in while the going is good.
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Man I sure hope your are right because I'm right there with you! Steem has never looked more promising. I just can't figure out the Steem Dollar price though. Baffled!
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First, I liked the strategy you think and rely on
Yes, I agree with you completely, since the electronic currency market is growing, while the currency of bitcoin will rise because most investors are turning to the currency
This shows that it is strong and very strong coin
@taskmaster4450
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Here is the YouTube Version...
Doing a blogpost on my website right now...
https://steemit.com/blockchain/@mariannewest/blockchain-and-cryptocurrency-an-introduction
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BTC, LTC, ETH, DASH, BCH etc. have minted lots of multimillionaires and at least one billionaire (i.e. Winklevoss twins). BTC being close to its peak (at least it looks like one for now), struggling with fees and speed, ETH's cryptokitties scandal (e.g. network jam) may inspire some of those investors to find next coin that has potential to grow 20 to 100 times. If one or few of them decide to take stake in STEEM (i.e. a smart move for them), STEEM can rise quickly. Who knows- eecent price rise of STEEM may be due to these reasons. Some of early dogs of cryptos may have found or will find STEEM's potentials: highest transactions per minutes, Proof of Brain (Human brain is the most energy efficient machine on Earth! ) is better than energy wasting PoW, Communities/SMT etc. STEEM will lunch its Apollo 11 for moon soon!
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I like your thinking it seems very logical, and you add the fact that TA is strong..Moon baby moon
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$100? I love it.....It will be an amazing ride....Looking forward to continuing to build a,strong community....Much Love and Blessings
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I was just reading an article by Stan Larimer on the perfect storm situation brewing. I'm glad I'm already heavily invested in Steem. I also have a Bitshares wallet but haven't figured out how to use it yet.
It seems that @ned is steemed (no pun intended) over EOS. Not sure what went down there. Feel bad that it looks like it's become personal. I'm aware of the fact that Dan Larimer was working on this project up until March this year.
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I'm technically able to get steem, I think, and I've gotten bitcoin via coinbase...
How do I cash out steem?
How do I use it?
When the payment goes out... where does it go to?
How do I get an account with the coins you're talking about?
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Man, I put 0,02 btc into the STEEM platform because I believe in this ecosystem, since here you really gain for proof of work, since more information you delivered, more money you get.
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Great post, I never investigated Bitshares and this is one I need to look into it. Also, proof of brain is good to stay informed ;)
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I'm very hopeful on my Steem earnings. Though I'm new to this platform and do not understand it 100%, I can see that this is a very promising platform. :) I hope to create my own analysis and predictions in the future when I have a better grasp of all the workings of Steem. :)
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Steem will be much more than 100$ for one year.
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What makes you say that? Just gut feeling?
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I actually agree with you but people already think $100 is outlandish.
Tell them $150 or $200 and they go bonkers.
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I think that was a smart move and well-timed.
Agree with you on Bitshares - it is beyond me why not more people have discovered it yet.
I do think Bitcoin will go up at least times 10 again next year. And in 2019 as well. I simply don't see why it should slow down, when we're just at the very beginning of going mainstream. I thought my prediction of $100,000 by 2018 was a little ambitious, but we've seen in the last few days how fast things can go. Even if there will be a correction again. I think I'll have to up my guesstimate to $200,000.... :)
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$200K....
That is a lot of bitshares lol
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Bitcoin not Bitshares! But why not Bitshares, too, LOL
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I meant use the $200K on bitshares.
Bitshares is another one with triple digit potential and that one is under 20 cents. That is another one, a couple thousand in it can make one a millionaire.
In fact, I believe it will.
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I have a Bitshares wallet but I'm still a little worried about security of software wallets. Do you have any recommendations for apps that prevent trojans and spyware taking screen shots of your passwords? At this point, I've only invested in crypto that I can keep in deep cold storage.
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Well I think we have to watch the scaling issue for bitcoin. If Lightning Network and Schnorr signatures come online then I think 1 million bitcoin is possible. But if only institutional investors get involved, it will be significantly less than that.
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Great Post bud ,what are your thoughts on the ethereum network being clogged .This post has some valid points and potential solutions do have a look.
https://steemit.com/ethereum/@ajkapss/microraiden-payment-channels-are-now-live-on-ethereum-main-network#@newguyintown/re-ajkapss-microraiden-payment-channels-are-now-live-on-ethereum-main-network-20171206t065921986z
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Thanks for sharing your opinion. I hope I have benefited from reading this post. I wish you good luck. @taskmaster
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Anything will be happening depending on time.
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i saw your post and i liked it your post
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