$10T In Marketcap For The World Computer? Is He Underestimating It?

in steem •  7 years ago 

It is simply astounding how quickly things are changing in the world of cryptocurrencies. What was an absurd number just a couple months ago is now being bantered about like it is nothing.

I wrote a post 4 or 5 weeks ago stating how a $10T market cap for cryptocurrencies was a bare bones minimum. At the time, the total cap was around $300B. Many thought it a bit outrageous.

What is ironic is now the mainstream financial people are starting to pick up on things.

Last week a financial analyst from RBC issued a report detailing how he believed that cryptocurrencies will hit $10T in market cap.

He went on CNBC's Fast Money to explain it.

What is fascinating about his interview is how he called it the "World's Computer". This is something that both ETH and EOS promised to be. Also, his focus upon decentralization was based upon the tendency for centralized systems to get hacked. Because of this, while we accept as the norm. there is a distrust factor that comes into play. That would be eliminated with decentralized systems.

Of course, one major point overlooked in all of this is the result of a major power shift away from centralized "silos" to decentralized systems. This is really an opportunity for the average person to enrich him or herself. Never before has that really happened. There was the Internet craze of 25-30 years ago but how many were able to share in that? The dot.com era enabled many to create wealth, but again, most people around the world are not into the stock market.

Enter cryptocurrency. This allows us to do two things at the same time. The first is that many can create a vast amount of wealth; inter-generational wealth. Secondly, and more important, we can uplift billions out of poverty while providing them with the resources they need to meet their basic needs. This is the power of what is taking place.

$10T for the world's computer? Looking at it from the perspective of potential IT spending, yes that might be a sound number. However, I believe that value is low for a technology that will be changing the lives of billions of people around the world.

Back in August I felt that cryptocurrencies would be a $250B value by Thanksgiving. At that time, I said that the market cap by the end of 2018 would be $1.5T. As close as I was on the Thanksgiving forecast, I appear to be far off on the next one. Right now, the market cap is $825B on January 7. With 51 weeks left in the year, I feel that $1.5T will be surpassed easily.

We are involved in a revolutionary technology that is changing things very quickly. Do not forget that when you hear estimates bantered about. In the world of cryptocurrencies and blockchain, it is most likely under estimated.

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The fundamentals in place certainly favor a rip roaring first half of 2018.

I don't see any negatives at all, and that makes me very nervous. Seems too good to be true. What am I overlooking?

I wrestled with this numerous times in my head. Looking at it from every angle to see where the pitfalls are. At this time, I cannot see any.

The only thing I came up with, which will not happen soon since it is not in place, is Wall Street shorting. I know the futures market is open but they dont have the naked shorting that enables big time manipulation. Could that be coming at some point? I am sure it will. With the market so small, relatively speaking, this would allow the shorts to blast many tokens to oblivion with little money.

Of course, as the total market cap increases with the money invested from others on the Street, this makes it less likely the further along with go. However, we are still a rather minor industry for the vultures...hell they manipulated the gold market and that is 10 times the size of this one....so a lot of growth is needed before the shorters enter the picture

Outside of that, blockchain technology is growing at such a rapid pace that I am not sure even Wall Street can "bubble" it. They could push the market cap up ten fold yet the technological advancements of blockchain will go up 1000 fold in the next year. There are millions of developers hacking away at code creating all kinds of things...we are at the beginning of the innovation age...something like we havent seen before.

I think we will hit 1 Trillion this month but then of course at big mile stones correct the price seems to the the norm. Unless BTC can fix these transaction fees though its not going to be adopted nearly as fast and start being used less. In order for something to take its place is going to be a real massive challenge for all those ATMs etc.

I would say crypto would be everything in a few years not some small 10 trillion. But until they fix the issues they have 10 trillion does sound high

Here you have to think this or alternatively take it miracle, because time for technology, where don't need to strange any of the alternative occurrence

That RGB analyst didn't look very comfortable in front of the camera, but had great responses to all the questions that were thrown at him. His time frame for 10 trillion market for cryptocurrencies is 10-15 years, which seems quite conservative, like you mentioned @taskmaster4450 I'll take under 10 years.

I think we have to careful about which cryptos get the nod. I studied the Ripple white paper, and it's a business as usual coin for the banking system, yet it's now right behind bitcoin in market cap.

I would agree @zoidsoft.

There are a lot of coins that are going to disappear or collapse. Personally, I am with you on Ripple...it isnt really a blockchain, just a shared data base they are dressing up as blockchain.

When I look at the crypto market overall, that is where I see it heading...particular projects will fail while other succeed.

At this moment, Ripple way overpriced and STEEM way under priced.

Let us see when it evens out.

  ·  7 years ago (edited)

Stellar is another one of those banker coins. Jeb McCaleb runs that project and he used to run Ripple. Both are in the top 10 of market cap. Hopefully this is more the case because bankers are pumping than actual popularity.

I read that Ripple.inc is looking to decentralise xrp.whts your take on this?

They already say that they're decentralized, but that would be in the strict sense of their transaction confirmation algorithms. Their "decentralization" didn't disintermediate authority so it misses the whole point.

Cryptocarrency has not only changed the currency world, as well as the fate of many big investors in the world has changed incredibly. And this is definitely a good news for us.

As @zoidsoft I can't believe people are supporting Ripple... or better yet, I can easilly believe it, but I'm heavilly disappointed. That is all what crypto shouldn't be. Bust most people don't have vision neither understand technology, they're just operating on the same old mindset that caused them to be poor to begin with.
Sight...
Centralized Crypto rising in the ranks... woes.

Centralize crypto is a currency tied to a database, not a blockchain.

No matter how you dressed it up, it is nothing more than a shared database. And that is not revolutionary, powerful, nor disruptive.

I never liked Ripple and I never knew why...it took me a while to pinpoint it...the fact it isnt decentralized means it is doomed to fail.

Agree... one step forward two steps back with that one.

Is growth this quick sustainable though? I wholeheartedly believe in the potential and utility of cryptocoins and the blockchain, but I feel like a lot of the recent growth is people scrambling to "get in early" into the perceived gold-rush. Many family friends have asked me to help them purchase whatever coin they heard on the news will make it big, which I feel is partially responsible for these crazy market caps; It's a gut feeling and I'd love for someone to prove me wrong... Is most of the recent growth because of speculation?

The growth in this market is because of the growth in blockchain. Wall Street does not have enough money to outpace that growth.

That said, you can pick an individual token and see that it is overpriced. There will be tokens that fail and become worthless. On an individual basis, it is buyer beware. There is a lot of junk out there.

However, as an industry, there is no amount of money which can grow quicker than the innovation we are seeing on here. This is going to be unprecedented.

I was talking to my friend last night who is a pretty conservative investor, he's not in the crypto space and probably won't be. He was saying that he thought that there would be success with blockchain technology, he just didn't know where and which companies.

This is the big risk, figuring out who is for real in the space, who is going to make the products that actually work and change the world. Luckily, being on steemit gives us a huge edge as far as information goes, we just need to keep informed. Otherwise we are just investing in progress, and in some cases like steemit, actually using and directly supporting the products

Look at the companies to invest in shows a complete lack of understanding of blockchain. It is not the apps (companies) on the blockchain where the value lies, it is in the blockchain itself. Sure, you can look at a NVDA as a company that will profit from the move since they produce chips for this purpose. However, looking for the "next facebook" on the blockchain will result in failure. Steemit will not have the value, STEEM will.

Plus, he will end up with tokens anyway since it is going to be a tokenized world.

I guess I mean which tokens to purchase, not which companies to invest in.

Do you think that eventually we will be able to trade any tokens between each other instead of just being able to use BTC to use on exchanges (and sometimes things like BTS)? Is this what ARK is looking to do, or do you know of any other upcoming solution?

Whether $10T is too high or too low for Crypto's market cap, all i know is that Bitcoin and all the alt coins have SO MUCH room to grow and if you are in the market today, you will be set for life in the future. This technology will truly change the world not only technologically but also, financially. Blockchain has created so many new millionaires and will create a lot more in the future!

Great post :D

.... if you are in the market today, you will be set for life in the future.

I agree 1000% with this statement. My view matches this totally.

I can see a day where the Internet is creating such abundance with cryptocurrencies. People think in terms of limits yet there is no limit to how high this can go. The innovation curve lagged the last 20 years since everything got siloed...now we are truly seeing the power of the Internet unleashed due to decentralization. And cryptocurrencies, the first app, are going to grow huge...just like email did.

Exactly! And that is why I believe Steemit has a great chance of becoming the #1 Social media platform out there. It is one of the first ones to allow people to earn some crypto while sharing posts and comments with people around the globe. Facebook and Reddit doesn't don't or barely award their users and that's why I believe, if Reddit or Facebook doesn't pick up on crypto, Steemit will be #1.

wow great pics! the flower colors and the trees look amazing.wonderful video.i love your nicely post.have a great day.god bless you.
upvoted // resteem

Considering what cryptocurrencies are going to do, COMPLETELY REPLACE THE GLOBAL ECONOMY, this is conservative.

Add to that, as pointed out by you, the habit the internet has of creating abundance and I wouldn't know what ridiculously large number to settle on. At this point I think all estimates are just guesses. There is no metric we can use to evaluate the problem.

To borrow a phrase from that fellow in the White House, "It's gonna be YUGE". I think that is all we can safely say at the moment.

Thanks for the post.

Keep Steeming!

In 1993 who would have guessed there would be so many web pages on the Internet.

That is the amazing thing....few people can consider the truth potential of many of these technologies. What is another interesting fact is that the people who develop these technologies do not even know the direction they will take.

Yes I see the entire global economy on the blockchain which means it will have $100T + of commerce on it...how much is that really worth?

My point exactly. This is unknown territory.

  ·  7 years ago (edited)

"Do not forget that when you hear estimates bantered about. In the world of cryptocurrencies and blockchain, it is most likely under estimated."
-@taskmaster4450

This is pure confidence and I love it!! I will be writing a post about this quote.

I would also like a post with all the steemit tools you use. I'm starting to be unorganized and wondering how you manage everything here on steemit.

Useful and informative post thank you dear friend

I also Feel for BlockChain and its necessity for todays world. Hope World adopt it as they did with Internet.

STAY HAPPY, STAY BLESSED, ALWAYS :)

Soon enough people will realise they have been asking the wrong question... not will cryptocurrency be worth squillions, but which cryptocurrency will be worth squillions?

Ps - do you have the answer? ;)

BTS and STEEM are at the top of my list. PRE is something I just started looking at closer but do not have any money in.

ETH looks like it will have another good year....

EOS is going to be a player....

Thanks :)

The critics and experienced investors will get to know this only with time and whoever provides the best solutions in future.thats what everyone is running behind since day 1. Ethereum I think will dominate in near future.not by going with the trends..but because it provides applications in real life..

Totally agree @kriptoman, providing solutions is what's important

This post very nice..thanks for sharing this post..best of luck..

Crypto World of $10 Trillion This is a huge world. Your articles help us a lot about the world, thanks.

i always like blockchain....it is very usefull and very helpfull in the world...

Good point 😊👍 but if that would
really then i will be happy in some ways tho :)

Another gem.

Thanks.

xox

Thanks for the helpful content

Yes, cryptos will be changing the world in the following years and its value is only going to increase. So I don't see how it could NOT reach 10 trillion...

Finally a tsunami I can get down with ! (-:

Get your surfboard ready @clumsysilverdad.

It is going to be a wild ride....hell it already was...it will only get more profitable.

  ·  7 years ago Reveal Comment

Thanks a lot for discuss about steem...Steem is the best this seation...I appreciate to your blog..Best of luck...

that is so helpful...

Your post is awesome and the news that gave the news is very important

Thanks for the information,,,,,,,

It's hard to imagine how the top 10 coins would look at 10T dollars. That's mind blowing, but I don't think bitcoin will remain in it. Do you?

Bitcoin will remain a strong force...it has more development on it than any other blockchain which means the present problems will be solved (or at least alleviated some). It also is the darling of Wall Street which will buy it a nice run over the next couple years.

That said, is it the best choice to buy? I dont think it is bad but there are better options out there. STEEM is one of them. So is BTS. Nevertheless, BTC will most likely triple this year which is a great return...under normal circumstances....in the crypto world, that is hardly moving.

If this cryptocurrency arena can beat the foreign exchange market volume of $4 trillion as the default, I think that fiat currency is on its way out. Now as I am observing, it is $44 billion on coinmarketcap

https://www.listico.io/blog-post.php?slug=cryptocurrency-ico-upcoming-ico-trading-volume
This is another perspective of it.

As always, very useful information. Your articles are very informative. To be honest, I do not see any particular cause for concern. The growth of mistrust of the crypto-currency is due to the attempts of states to regain their power. But, we know with you that they will not get anything. Good luck to you and kind.

Как всегда, очень полезная информация. Ваши статьи очень информативны. Если честно, я не вижу особого повода для беспокойства. Рост недоверия к криптовалюте обусловлен попытками государств вернуть свою власть. Но, мы то с вами знаем, что у них ни чего не выйдет. Удачи Вам и добра.

very Informative article.
Today i bought some ripple coin.