Tesla Will Change The World And Waste All Your Money

in technology •  8 years ago 

Tesla will change the world. No, Tesla is changing the world. And faster than you can even comprehend.

Just so we’re clear, I’m about to drag Tesla across the coals. Same with Solar City and Space X.

Elon Musk’s multi-billion dollar empire is just a giant crony capitalist funded house of cards that could implode at any second.

Tesla, Solar City, and Space X have received billions of dollars in government subsidies and have numerous different government contracts that essentially make these companies bedfellows with US tax payers.
Tesla Will Change The World

tesla

Do you like fancy rockets, roof tile solar panels, and luxurious electric cars? Well, if you live in the US, you’re paying for them whether you like it or not.

And if you do like electric vehicles, you can buy Tesla stock with it’s unbelievably inflated valuation, massive debt load, and ridiculous non-GAAP reporting.

(Generally Accepted Accounting Principles – GAAP – is the accounting standard adopted by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Basically, it keeps companies honest by comparing their finances on a level playing field. Lately, some companies, like Tesla, having been skewing their accounting practices to favor their outlooks. This completely augments the valuation of the company as it becomes nearly impossible to compare their finances to other companies. Hence, the reason why Tesla has outlandish valuations.)

Now… let’s hear the other side of the story…

I was in Colombia earlier this week for an investing trip (which turned out to be extremely successful with some great investment opportunities that I will be sharing in the near future). On my way back I flew from Cali, Colombia to LAX, which cost around $300.

The problem was that from LAX I needed to get to Palm Springs, which is about a 30 minute flight. That 30 minute one-way flight cost $400… more than flying from Colombia to the US. Crazy-stupid expensive.

So, I looked for other transportation options. I eventually found out about the company Tesloop, which is crazy-AMAZING.

(I have zero connections to Tesloop, so I have no incentive to talk so highly of this service. On top of that, I just told you about what I think of Tesla, so I clearly have no dog in this fight.)

The ride from LAX to Palm Springs cost me $29 in a brand new Tesla X. There was juice, coffee, water, snacks, noise cancelling earphones, neck pillows, wi-fi, and every amenity you could wish for in the car. It was literally like flying in first class… except I was in a Tesla.

Tesloop is a company that uses Teslas (they say they have no affiliation with Tesla) to transport people on pre-scheduled routes. Right now their routes are in California, but I’m sure they are expanding soon.

Here is the crazy part… Tesloop calls the drivers of these vehicles “Pilots.” 95% of the journey uses driverless technology and the Pilot just sits there in case something happens.

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The “Pilot” may be sitting in the driver’s seat… but that’s about all he’s doing. Sitting.

Yes. You read that correctly. Think about that. The car drives itself 95% of the time.

It’s difficult to comprehend how this form of transportation will change the world… and this is just the beginning.

Imagine if you paid for a subscription service that allowed you to ride driverless Teslas anywhere you want. Imagine Uber combined with Amazon Prime combined with Tesla’s driverless technology.

This isn’t some sci-fi make-believe concept. This is happening. Right now in front of our eyes.

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On the way to Palm Springs. Passing by the renewable energy wind turbines while riding in a self-driving electric vehicle. The future is here… at least in California.

Now remember all of those mean things I said about Tesla, Solar City, and Space X? Maybe it takes a fearless leader, like Elon Musk, to do whatever it takes to make these ideas happen.

Government subsidies, non-GAAP accounting, raising unlimited amounts of money from investors… maybe it’s all justifiable in the end?

What if the world really is changed by all of this incredible technology?

I hope it is.

But… I’m not going to put my hard earned money in these overvalued investments. Yes, there are enormous possible gains, but there is also enormous downside risk.

I’d rather invest in things that are trading for multi-year lows. I’d rather invest in assets with minimum downside risk and massive upside potential.

Don’t get me wrong. I enjoyed the Tesla ride. Hell, I might even buy one someday. But, when it comes to investing in the company, I’m going to steer clear. I’m going to invest in areas I know will make me money, because I’m going to need a lot to buy that Model X with a $100,000 price tag!

What do you think of Tesla?

I’ve found there are only two opinions. Love or hate.

The people who love Tesla hate me for speaking down on the company.

The people who hate Tesla hate me for speaking highly of the company.

Either way I’m screwed… but I’d be interested in hearing what you have to say anyway!

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“The people who love Tesla hate me for speaking down on the company.“
I- somehow, if you want to call it like this- love Tesla, but I do not “hate“ you (or you opinion)...I guess you did researches about them on a totally different level (tbh one which I never did). I totally respect your opinion on them!

Stop, you had me with, "I’m about to drag Tesla across the coals."

I'm constantly impressed with the way contributors here on Steemit can actually have rational thoughts.

i.e. "The people who love Tesla hate me for speaking down on the company.

The people who hate Tesla hate me for speaking highly of the company."

Upvoted, resteemed and following.

Musk is an amazing entrepreneur and he's been hugely successful so far getting the government to subsidize his ventures. I have no doubt that ten years from now, he will be seen as the father of the modern electric car, but it's still a big question mark whether Tesla will be around to enjoy the financial rewards of mass adoption.

I think "government subsidized entrepreneur" is an oxymoron (i.e. a figure of speech in which apparently contradictory terms appear in conjunction.)

Touché

I think there will be a big enough cloud of dust when it all comes crashing down that he may be able to escape, but I think Elon Musk may give Bernie Madoff a run for everyone else's money in the history books.

There is a similar "cult of personality" vibe around him.

It took me a while for it to sink in but I have to wonder, "$29 from LAX to Palm Springs"?

A NORMAL business would need to cover the depreciation/amortization of the $100k car, the costs incurred for having an employee aka "Pilot" in the car, in California the minimum wage is probably something like $72/hour for "skilled" labor like that.

I guess if GM can apparently make the business model of "Sure, we lose money on every sale, but we'll make up for it in volume" work, maybe Tesloopy can too.

Hahaha... yeah, I was skeptical too. But in all fairness, there were a couple other people in the car (although I didn't feel crammed in there), so they were making more than $29 for the trip.

I actually talked to the 'pilot' for a while and he explained how the biz works... they're making money. The route is driven multiple times a day with several passengers for each leg. One of their vehicles has over 300k miles on it in one year!

So do they charge by the mile or is there a standard route and they make several trips a day?

"renewable energy wind turbines " = Bird slicing, trauma inducing money guzzlers. Without federal subsidies, they, like Tesla, would disappear.

The upside is probably changing our minds for green energy a lot quicker. That could be a better Return On Investment on subsidies than a government campaign.

And in the end, failure is also valuable information.

I love Tesla, and wish it didn't have the drawbacks you mention, all of which I totally agree with. So I'm a huge fan of the car, and a huge fan of driverless technology, and a manic opponent of rent-seeking and government subsidy. Dunno where that puts me on your spectrum.

Great post. If I'm ever in Cali, I'm going Tesloop for sure.

There were electric cars on the streets of London and New York over 100 years ago!

But they didn't have "insane mode".

They were grounded by reality back then!