You always hear that styles make fights, they do, and i'm going to show you how to use this to your advantage with fighters that have defined but highly technical styles like Nate (and Nick) Diaz.
The Diaz brothers are highly technical boxers who love to use their striking as a high volume constant barrage of what looks to be smaller punches that have proven to be just as lethal if not more effective than a power punchers style. If you mix Nate's crisp boxing in with his chin, which i would rate a 9-10, and his many years at the Ceasar Gracie Academy and you have a fighter that matches up superbly against striking/Jujitsu fighters like Jim Miller, Donald Cerrone, or in his upcoming fight just announced against Dustin Porier at UFC 230 in Madison Square Garden. Diaz and Porier both have a striking and jujitsu background, which is great for trying to predict where this fight is going to go. The Jim Miller fight will resemble this one because he also studied the same 2 disciplines and he quickly found out he was out matched on the feet and then quickly met his demise when it went to the mat.
Anything can happen in a fight but when you choose a fight where both fighters are good at the same two things, do your homework on who is the most proficient in the given techniques because the answer becomes much more polarized and sports books have historically slept on Nate Diaz putting him as an a +225 underdog against Michael Johnson, or a +190 dog to Jim Miller or a whopping +280 opening line against Donald Cerrone.
So with all that talk do i think Nate will beat Dustin Porier, absolutely. What odds should you take him at? I would lay cash on Nate all the way up to -200, but if you catch the betting line when it first comes out you may find Nate Diaz somewhere close to a pick'em (-110) which would be the absolute tits. Don't forget to scour your sports books prop bets also for the win by Submission line or win by KO, they can reward you handsomely because this fight is not going until the end.
