I previously wrote Collapse of Western Civilization Underway about the likelihood and timing of civil war and/or fracturing of USA into separatism political movements and possibly separately (rebel?) governing regions, c.f. also:

• The United States will become Just the “States”
• Insane Clusterfuck of the Collapse of Rule-of-law, Eventually to Imprison Most Westerners

The following is more elaboration than could fit into Steem’s 16KiB limit for another of my recent comment posts.

Please do click both of the above linked posts and review those after reading the following.

Many of y’all are presumably deer-in-the-headlights. You may not realize that Western civilization may just turn off the lights. The priorities you have now in foresight will seem ABSURD in hindsight — absurd excuses and wishful (non-)thinking. No Amazon.com. No gadgets. No technology. Those in the northern zones with the ground frozen solid year-round due to the Maunder Minimum Little Ice Age underway, will suffer starvation. GTFO of the West while you still can. No the society will not pull together and find solutions. The decadent society will splinter into a thousand ways to “fuck it” savagery.

It Can Be Worse

Saving the Planet [with the Death Penalty]

WW3 Coming Within a Decade or So?

Robot Soldiers

Western Civilization Unraveling

[…]

Is World War III on the Horizon?:

QUESTION: […] When looking at your war cycle with Russia that started in 2014 and supposedly cycles roughly 25 years, I noticed that correlates nicely with your ECM on Russia peaking around 2039. Coincidence? Is it becoming pretty clear World War 3 between east and west seems just over the horizon past 2032?

ANSWER: Socialism is dying and in the process, we are witnessing the rise in even domestic violence. In the United States, this hatred of Trump-inspired by the Democrats has unleashed the destruction of the United States as we have known it. The United States will most likely cease to exist after 2034 and the same result will impact Russia by 2038.

The crisis we face is that governments have made so many worthless promises that cannot be funded. When that takes place historically, the political states collapse internally. However, before that happens, they will turn to international war as a means to retain power and distract the people from the real economic crisis which is befalling civilization.

@Jim admits that Trump has unleashed the dogs of war by being lured (unwittingly?) into a false-flag. TPTB of course want war to distract Western civilization’s attention from the economic and financial crises that are about to befell them. And to concentrate power and other geopolitical-economic aims. Trump probably also has a political motive. Sigh.

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BREAKING NEWS: Iran retaliates for attack on general by firing missiles at U.S. forces in Iraq

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And while censoring my attempts to point this out, @Jim (aka James A. Donald) censors my rebuttals of his ongoing nonsensical arguments advocating for the retaliation as some inexplicable/illogical/insane means to peace by creating power vacuums in the region that the U.S.A. is entirely incapable of capturing and hodling onto, yet there’s no benefit for U.S.A. citizens in deploying the U.S. military in far-flung clusterfucks. Again I repeat what I explained in §Thucydides Trap of my prior blog East vs. West: China to dominate the world that nuclear war isn’t a scorched earth threat to humanity, and instead is a media sensationalized bugaboo to scare the populace into allowing TPTB to swing the U.S. military as their big dick around the world as they please.

@Jim is either an unwitting, overzealous idiot or a disinformation agent. Jim implicitly claims I work for the FBI. Bullshit! I don’t want to pay taxes to give the Zionists a military which they can employ to enslave us. Our strong horse has been co-opted. We have no Western strong horse to enjoin! It’s over. Stick a fork in it — it’s cooked. Lights out. Jim is either a myopic fool or pysops. It seems unlikely that he could eloquently express many truths and also be a myopic fool on the Big Picture.

The following are sourced from a (possibly liberal-biased) Philippines newspaper.

Trump’s foolish move against Iran:

[…] It has been almost 17 years since America invaded Iraq. Since then, every attempt has been made to replace the repressive peace maintained by the cruel regime of Saddam Hussein with something more enduring and democratic. But the leadership vacuum left by the ouster of Iraq’s strongman triggered colossal infighting among warring ethnic tribes and religious sects. Before anyone would realize it, Iraq had become the breeding ground of a radical extremism that envisioned the formation of an Islamic Caliphate that would cut across national boundaries […] With Isis out of the picture, the most powerful countries in this part of the world began to maneuver to assert their influence in those societies that had been destroyed by the American war machine. Because of their wealth and military capability, three regional powers in particular have been busy trying to shape developments in these war-ravaged countries — namely, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Turkey. Still, America and Russia have remained the principal players in this volatile region, nurturing and arming their respective proxies in a landscape already teeming with mercenaries and paramilitary units […] the United States has remained generally unperturbed by the disastrous outcomes of its unwarranted 2003 invasion of Iraq and its 2011 intervention in Libya. Today, under Trump, it appears to be itching to start a war with Iran […] President Trump promptly sent a tweet of the American flag with no words […] Soleimani had supposedly said: “Mr. Trump, the gambler!… Come we are waiting for you. You know that a war would mean the loss of all your capabilities. You may start the war, but we will be the ones to determine its end.”

Thus, the world teeters on the edge of war mainly because of the unbridled machismo […]

World War III?:

Shortly before unleashing his million-strong army on European soil, the Persian Emperor Xerxes confidently rebuffed the misgivings of his cautious adviser […] However, for ancient historians, Xerxes’ failed invasion of Greece marked the beginning of the end for the world’s first global empire. To critics, Donald Trump is the modern Xerxes, who would spell the end of the American empire by embarking on misguided foreign policy campaigns based on a hubristic belief […] Or, in the acerbic wisdom of Gore Vidal, “It is not enough to succeed. Others must fail.” […] as leading historian John Gaddis pithily warned, “‘with great power comes great responsibility … but also the danger of doing dumb things.”

Last week, to the shock and consternation of even leading American politicians, Trump, citing “self-defense,” ordered the killing of one of the most powerful military commanders in recent memory, Maj. Gen. Qassem Soleimani […] In response, Tehran has promised “severe revenge,” raising the prospect of all-out war in the world’s most unstable region.

Soleimani, who played a central role in mobilizing Iraqi forces to drive out the Islamic State terrorists from much of Iraq, was no ordinary general […] he was also a statesman who combined the roles of vice president, defense minister and head of overseas security operations in a major Asian country […] Trump, now facing a tough reelection bid under the shadow of impeachment and economic slowdown, had warned earlier this decade: “In order to get elected, @BarackObama will start a war with Iran.” (Note: The article is partly based on the author’s latest book, “The Indo-Pacific: Trump, China and the New Struggle for Global Mastery”)

Drums of war in a season of hope:

[…] Bush’s predecessors, it’s said, knew all along about Soleimani, but refused to move against him because it would further destabilize an already-fraught part of the world […] President Duterte has already publicly declared that the country will support the US in any coming fighting. This leaves us not only vulnerable to retaliatory actions, what with Islamic State-influenced groups already embedded in our territory, but also suspect among our neighbors with huge Muslim populations

To the extent the following article represents reality, if “killing Soleimani” wasn’t a false-flag at the behest of TPTB, it was at least in the interest of Iran.

The post-Soleimani view from Iran:

[…] the Iranian regime could yet benefit from recent developments. Iran has been taking drastic steps to ameliorate the severe regional and domestic challenges it currently faces. For example, it recently confronted a sudden upsurge in Iraqi nationalist fervor over its influence in that country. Iran’s diplomatic outposts were burned, and its goods boycotted. Even the Iranian-born Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, Iraq’s highest Shia cleric, has spoken out against foreign (meaning Iranian) interference in Iraqi affairs.

In a clear effort to divert this anti-Iranian sentiment, Soleimani’s allies in Iran — particularly the newspaper Kayhan, a mouthpiece for Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei — suggested in October that Iraqis should occupy the US embassy in Baghdad. Iran needed to change the discourse in Iraq by redirecting nationalist fervor toward the US. And in the event, the conversation in Iraq has indeed changed following the drone strike on Soleimani: many Iraqis are now wondering not when Iran will leave, but when the US will.

Meanwhile, Iran has also been dealing with a significant domestic challenge. The regime has moved with shocking brutality to repress massive demonstrations over deteriorating economic conditions, killing several hundred people and arresting thousands more. Since then, Khamenei has been besieged, drawing criticism even from his traditional base over his mishandling of the situation. As with the explosion of discontent in Iraq, he needed a way to change the story, and the US has now temporarily obliged.

To the outside world, Soleimani was the mastermind of the regime’s terrorist activities outside Iran, and the puppet master of its proxies across the region, not least Hezbollah in Lebanon. Yet to Iranians, he was a more complicated figure. While regime hardliners regarded him as a hero, many Iranians who have lost loved ones in peaceful demonstrations, or who object to the regime’s attacks on Iranian dissidents in the diaspora, saw him differently.

Nonetheless, over the past few years, the regime has pushed a clever public relations campaign to depict Soleimani as a Napoleon- or Caesar-like warrior-poet. And as one of the few Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commanders not tainted with allegations of corruption, he was mooted as a likely presidential candidate in the next election. Thus, inasmuch as there was public sympathy for Soleimani, it will now extend to the regime, at least in the short run […] the US, too, might have miscalculated, by underestimating Iran’s own ability and willingness to respond. Given the state of the economy and the level of discontent in Iran, Khamenei must keep the IRGC and loyal militias firmly on his side. And right now, those forces are clamoring for revenge […] the Trump administration has been operating under the assumption that the Iranian regime is so bereft of legitimacy and enfeebled by domestic discontent that it could never countenance a major war with the US. And this dangerous assumption has been reinforced by Trump’s own oft-stated belief that a war with Iran would be very short. But, in fact, the Iranian regime has deep cultural, economic and intelligence ties throughout the region, and particularly in Iraq. It has mastered the art of asymmetrical war, and it now has no choice but to respond in some way to Soleimani’s death […]

The next insightful article contemplates if Trump is attempting to fight back against the imminent economic decline of Western Civilization by igniting the war economy?

A war-driven economy?:

Why has US President Donald Trump raised the likelihood of another major war? Is it to divert attention from his impeachment, as already being guessed by many? Is it to help boost the US economy, now threatened by the unfolding consequences of his trade war with China? […] War spending was one sure way to pump up government spending, and not a few economists believe that it was actually World War II (and not President Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s New Deal policies) that got the US economy out of the Great Depression […] In a 2013 article, Steven Horwitz and Michael McPhillips wrote: “Even though the war ultimately involved the destruction of much of what was produced, the standard argument — still made today by Paul Krugman — was that a large enough increase in the demand for labor and capital for any purpose whatever was sufficient to generate overall recovery.” War is argued to stimulate the economy primarily because of its employment impact. The authors observed: “…the war effort wiped out unemployment almost completely. In 1939, more than 17 percent of Americans in the labor force remained without a job. By 1943, nearly every able-bodied man was at work.” […] Other observers have also noted how the American economy has tended to thrive as it engaged in subsequent wars in Korea, Vietnam, Cambodia, Iraq, Syria and others. A recent editorial noted the irony in how the United States has actually been at war for more than half a century, even as that period has been called “the postwar era.” But according to some analysts, the bigger beneficiaries of such a war-driven economy have not been the ordinary workers, but big businesses. Historian Stuart D. Brandes noted that in 1942-1945, the net profits of America’s top 2,000 firms were more than 40 percent higher than in the period 1936-1939. This “profit boom,” he argued, came about because the state ordered billions of dollars of military equipment, but failed to tax profits enough.

Have American presidents been waging wars not so much to pursue political objectives as more for economic reasons?

Expounding on the Societalcide

I have elaborated in my recent blogs how Western civilization is doing everything it can to destroy itself.

Not only will the Maunder Minimum make food scarcer in the northern climates, but the Western governments will do everything they possibly can to destroy all industry, science, energy, and production.

Armstrong blogged today Netherlands Supreme Court Rules They Must Reduce CO2 by 25% by end of 2020!:

QUESTION: Marty, I just read that in the Dutch so-called climate Justice case the supreme court has upheld the original 2015 ruling, legally requiring the government to reduce emissions by 25%. This appears to be the first successful such case, and it might be a precedent for the others.

[…]

ANSWER: The judges in the Supreme Court of Netherlands have made one of the worst decisions possible. In hindsight, the ruling will be the straw that broke the back of the European economy. The judges made their decision based solely on the international human rights law. This absurd ruling fails to consider that even if the Netherlands outlawed cars, manufacture, heating of homes, and the production of electricity from anything by wind or hydroelectric, it will not change the climate of the entire planet. The only outcome is to destroy the economy of the Netherlands.

There was no proof presented which proved beyond reasonable doubt that there is any connection between CO2 and climate change. Nevertheless, on the 20th of December 2019, the Dutch Supreme Court upheld the previous decisions in the Urgenda Climate Case, which held that the Dutch government has obligations to urgently and significantly reduce emissions in line with its human rights obligations.

The judges ruled against the Dutch government, which was the first in the world in which citizens established that their government has a legal duty to prevent dangerous climate change

[…]

Therefore, this decision in the Netherlands is not likely to prevail in most other jurisdictions. There is certainly no basis for this to be even made in the United States. This merely appears to be another nail in the coffin of the dying European economy.

What Westerners don’t realize is that the societalcide is about to lurch towards a death spiral into collective madness — most accelerated in the EU with the U.S.A. and UK in slightly more slow motion collapse until they reach the waterfall cliff also. Seriously.

Abrupt Swings in Weather from Cold to Heat

Many of my readers think I’m exaggerating. I’m not being sober and somber enough! I was also too hopeful up until just recently I have come to accept just how fucked Western civilization has become. I was fantasizing and planning to return to the USA and enjoying the nice lifestyle and climate I experienced in California in my teens and 20s in the 1980s.

The Specials - Enjoy Yourself

I still think the USA will be desirable place to visit for a few more years, but there’s no way I would plant roots there now with what’s coming over next decade or two. Remember California leads the trends of the nation, and now children in California are required by law to receive 72 vaccinations and boosters by the age of 5 (a possible exclusion if kids are home schooled). This Western cultural insanity (aka societalcide) is accelerating as the self-important, entitlement benefits of socialism are dying, whilst the I-still-think-I’m-self-important, holier-than-thou-atheist ramifications of leftistardism are “coming home to roost”, metastasizing into societalcide combined with economic devastation. Only a period of destitution and megadeath is able to reorient the collective culture of decadent human civilization. We’ve been down this road many times before in the past thousands of years. It’s nothing new.

Note but personality types differ. I’m a water sign, so I tend to go with the flow of least resistance downhill grabbing new opportunities with positive inertia instead of fighting against ingrained, decadent inertia. I don’t like to be tied down. I like to have multiple options at my disposal.

I authored in 2011 Understand Everything Fundamentally, which was also published here and discussed in 2013 here:

“Currency wars are like [...bitch] slap wars, trade wars is where the knives come out.”

“Currency wars ⇒ trade wars ⇒ hot wars.”

Another of my insanely correct predictions came true. That linked article was published in 2010 and correctly predicted that silver would decline to $25 then rise to $45+ by Spring 2011.

This week even my short-term predictions continue to correct more than 50% of the time:

Exactly what I predicted has occurred:

May get a bounce next week to ~$7800 at the 100 DMA (yellow).

The Dark Age Cycle

Armstrong blogged to announce his new $29.⁵⁰ special report How Do Empires, Nations & City-States Fall – The Dark Age Cycle:

It would be nice if we learned as a society from past mistakes as most of us do on a personal level. Every parent warns their child not to touch the flame of a candle. No matter how often we are warned, everyone still was compelled to see for ourselves.

Society lacks that evolution from experience. Hence, collectively we keep sticking our finger into flame expecting somehow a different result. Worse yet, with every financial crisis, nobody ever asks has this taken place before? Was there a solution that previously worked?

Perhaps this is just why history must repeat. We can only learn from our past mistakes on a personal individual level. Society collectively seem incapable of ever retaining such knowledge. Thus, those of us who can see the trend are compelled to watch others repeat the same mistakes over and over again.

[…]

This is a special report which includes for the first time “The Dark Age Cycle” which looks into how do empires die. Sometimes they just collapse, yet at other times, civilization also collapses and moves into a Dark Age. This report distinguishes all the historical changes which have taken place and the rise and fall of Empires, Nations, and City-States. This dives into the monetary system and how it was reconstructed in order to ascertain the cycles that are so important to understand.