Brecon by-election.

in politics •  6 years ago 

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Clear conclusions from the Brecon by-election.

  1. The Liberal Democrats won because of an electoral pact. If they hadn't had one they would have lost.

  2. The Conservatives lost because they didn't have an electoral pact - their vote plus the Brexit Party was a majority.

  3. The Labour Party is in a deep hole.

  4. A General Election is going to be very closely balanced and (on this evidence) unlikely to yield a clear result because Conservative gains are likely to be balanced by losses (to the SNP and Lib Dems).

  5. The Brexit Party cannot deliver Brexit but they could stop it.

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