STEEM update 02.11.17πŸ’—

in steem β€’Β  7 years agoΒ 

I really don't know why people are selling STEEM @ 85 cents πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚, but hey I am glad they do. Because we can now and in the coming days buy some cheap STEEM. Isn't that awesome?

Here is the updated count:

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We are in an extended 5th, as I pointed out a few days ago:

https://steemit.com/steem/@ew-and-patterns/steem-update-01-11-17-the-power-of-elliott-wave-and-pattern-recognition

Remember that it always gets worse, before it gets better... Good times ahead next year.

The risk reward ratio is already insane right now from an investors point of view. Buy @ .80$ sell @ 4.6$ for 600% profit. The only risk is STEEM going to ZERO and loosing your investment. But what are the chances for STEEM going to ZERO?

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If you think this to be useful information:
DQmRhDtjokAZnGKi4QwheqksKTFo6m4fsjMYsNNrsitC1xk.gif
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Feel free to use and share my charts, but please mention me, @ew-and-patterns as the author. Otherwise it is considered plagiarism and I will flag you and advise my friends to do the same.
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DISCLAIMER: I provide trading ideas using EW and Pattern analysis. The material in this post does not constitute any trading advice whatsoever. This is just the way I see the charts and what my trading ideas are. The author of this post is holding positions in this market at the time of this post.
If you make any trades after reading this post it is completely in your responsibility. I am not responsible for any of your losses. By reading this post you acknowledge and accept that.

Tell me what you think...

Have a nice day :-)

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Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ 

Nice

really nice example...

Morning update:

upd.JPG

what i want to see is less shallow discussion about why steem will go up, but rather why the price of steem has dropped to 0.85. And what needs to happen to reach higher.

There is already a lot happening right now. You will see the effects next year. But first, the weak hands need to leave the boot, so that a reversal in sentiment is possible.

Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ (edited)

Just saying that "theres a lot happening" doesnt mean anything to anyone. Its a bunch of fluff at the end of the day. If you want to get investors on board, your sales pitch needs to be stronger with real substance. I know why I am buying steem, but if everyone just nods and looks at each other saying "just wait till next year, were worth more" doesnt help anyone outside of the network. People from outside bringing in money is why the value of steem goes up. Its nothing to do with people who are inside the steem environment already.

You are right, we need more big money investors. But we are still such a small platform/community.
Let's say we are @ 450000 accounts (don't know the exact number right now)
If 0.1% of those accounts are big money investors (>200,000 STEEM) that is only 450 of them. Now double or triple that number in a year from now....

It is even less than what I expected, only 92 accounts are holding more than 200,000 STEEM. We are definately short ony big investors...

We are definately short ony big investors...

Big investors short STEEM is what I think you meant.

No, luckily you can't short STEEM. You can only buy and sell. Big investors are selling to buy back cheaper...
I meant that we don't have enough big money investors... We need more for constant growth

Oh that is lucky then. I think you will need both big investors (hodlers) and market makers (traders) and then STEEM can fly!

How we can do that is what should be spoken about publicly. That should be the focus on pro steem postings rather than "just invest!".

We need to put in real leg work to promote steemit in order to attract investors. Thats the toughest part. I am working on writing and shooting some content to promote the hardfork series to garner more public interest in the steem blockchain.

I upvote all of jerrybanfields ad campaign posts wih 100%. It is not enough but a great starting point for more advertising in the right direction, to people that actually care about social media and might already have a good following.

Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ (edited)

Because large operators can influence the price by overflooding the market with supply, depress people, spread FUD to then buy cheap when the average user lose confidence...right before a major announcement. Think like large operator, buy the fucking dip and you'll make money.

@cryptooctopus has it right and we already know what's coming in december. Hard Fork 20 with easy on boarding of new users, mobile app, and communities. Through on the start of APPICS and there's plenty of incentive to crash/buy.

I agree with @motoengineer, it was looking good right after the announcement of the token. There was a lot of excitement, then, in my opinion, some pumping, and dumping. I have no research, I'm just going by basic observation.

Steem is traded in BTC markets, not in USD markets. With the price run-up in bitcoin, not enough traders are thinking about adjusting their Steem price expectations and buying Steem at 'discount' with their BTC profits. So the BTC price can dip a little or hold mostly steady and it results in a significant decrease in USD price.

Also maybe Steem (along with other alts) are sold to get BTC as the Segwit2x fork is coming.

That makes sense as a contributing factor.

^this is a legitmate reason as to why there is less interest in steem. You cannot buy SBD with USD, you have to convert it to another coin first. but this is the case with most crypto currencies. Bitcoin is just red hot right now, and all altcoins are suffering.

This is the same as the dot.com bubble, people sold other stocks to get into dot.com stocks. People are dumping most of their cyrptocurrency money into btc and not altcoins.

I write about this in one of my blogs :https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@motoengineer/do-you-actually-believe-bitcoin-is-a-bubble-10-30-2017

Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ (edited)

I appreciate your blog post. I do think that bitcoin is in a bubble, but I'm not terribly upset about it. I think of transaction activity as the 'fundamentals' driving bitcoin. In the long run (ex-speculative activity) the price of bitcoin will be dictated by the amount transacting participants need to hold as reserves for day-to-day activity. This will vary by the actual use cases.

There is a rubber-band relationship between fundamentals and speculation. Solid improving fundamentals drive speculative activity to a certain point, and then price momentum drives it still further. If price action gets too far out of reach of fundamentals, the rubber-band will eventually snap back, and there will be a big pull-back in price. If the pull-back is severe enough, the price momentum will start working against it again and fundamentals will improve faster than price. Eventually the improvement in fundamentals will outpace price movement enough that accumulation to support use-cases will start to create positive price momentum and the cycle starts over.

Right now I think the dominant factor is the prospective futures contract in bitcoin. While there will be some 'arbitrage' activity aligning the futures with bitcoin, most of the trading will be USD-settled, meaning you won't have to own bitcoin to speculate in bitcoin. I actually see that as a negative for fundamentals, so positive price reaction is somewhat misguided.

But full disclosure: I'm long bitcoin and have barely trimmed my holdings on the recent price action, since I think the long term bullish case outweighs the short-term fundamentals. I wouldn't want to sideline for the correction and miss part of the run-up because my timing is wrong.

I'm also long Steem and have more in my bittrex account than I have on the blockchain in my own wallet.

Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ 

29.53% @pushup from @josephsavage

Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ 

This comment has received a 14.81 % upvote from @upgoater thanks to: @josephsavage.

Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ (edited)

I sell my Steem for Bitcoin which is up over 10X since this time last year when Steem was $.17 at SteemFest. Now it is $.80. So guess what I will keep doing until Steemit gets it right?

That is still 470% profit so why notπŸ˜‚. Thanks for stopping by.

It's going down due to phishing attacks, DDOS attacks, and a platform that was almost unusable for a week. I really steem and steemit are different, but at this point as far as I'm concerned they are one in the same.

Also, why would you hold steem right now when BTC is gaining 5% a day?

Wait until steemit starts showing some strength again then buy. Don't try and catch a falling knife.

Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ (edited)

Sorry, but I basically disagree with everything you said here.
I don't think phishing and DDOS attacks are the reason for STEEM going down.
BTC will not continue to gain 5% a day.
If you wait for STEEM to show some strength to buy, you already missed 50% of your profits. If you don't believe in STEEM 100% don't buy it at all.

I don't wanna "correct" you, I just have a completely different opinion about this.

Large operators have 80% of the supply and play small investors like a fiddle. Consider it a gift when they manipulate the price for you to get cheap steem.

Just watched the dollarvigilante and he made great points at steemfest.

He's suprised it's not growing more, but realizes until

  1. Sign-up is instantaneous
  2. The technical issues are resolved and scaling measures are improved
  3. A community liaison is implemented
  4. A marketing campaign is implemented to spread the word.

Steem's going to sit like a rock until those changes are made or BTC cools off. Why invest in a coin that drops every day when BTC is gaining 5% on a daily basis and BTC has it seems weekly news that keeps the money flowing in.

Steem does have potential, but I see no point in investing in it now. From watching the steemfest stream everything is happening next year. What's going to happen this year to make the price of steem increase?

Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ (edited)

Price and features are not correlated. In July 2016 we saw a $5 steem and last winter (with better features) we saw a $0.10 steem.

The trading game is made by large holders (2 to 5 people owns 80% of the steem on exchanges). They makes money by depressing the price by flooding the market and then buy low when everybody thinks it's the end of the world.

What you have to do is buy the rumor and sell the news. Because that's exactly what they do.

The end of the current campaign to depress the price will come right before a major run up where they will sell to gullible new investors when the price spike.

Rinse and repeat.

Wow, exactly my thoughts. There are only 92 STEEM account holding more than 200,000 STEEM. They hold like 70% of all STEEM that is currently in STEEM accounts. It's basically a monopoly. They can change the price at will.

This means that when they are ready to buy, we will see a huge spike in price, which is when they will start to sell again for profit. lol

O cool I'll have to try this strategy.

Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ 

well I do like Steem too but some cryptos will go to zero and BTS is already almost there 😭 can´t believe. buying al the way down needs really steady nerves. And what gonna happen when EOS arrives ... Dan said in some interview "everybody can do things like steemit on EOS". So IMHO don´t by only cause seems cheap and only buy what you can afford to loose

Always. With every investment. Only buy what you can afford to loose.

Anything can happen in the crypto world.

but I dont think Steem will go to Zero...

Markets can remain flat and bearish for a while or unreasonably bullish...

I would say - its wise to diversify rather than have all money in one single crypto.

I keep buying at what I think is the bottom and at keeps going lower. Oh well though, I'm just glad steem is on sale.. a lot of good opportunities here

People is fomoing with the huge BTC price rise... Thats the reason all altcoins are so cheap right now... There are multiple new hardforks announced so i believe this trend will continue...

Multiple hard forks to come ? Nooooo :(

Maybe I should start investing!

Alt coins have been getting hammered down lately, like you said the return on investment has the potential to be quite large once money flows back into Steem and other alt coins!

yuk...

This post received a 3.2% upvote from @randowhale thanks to @ew-and-patterns! For more information, click here!

completely agree with you @ew-and-patterns the people selling now were never in for the long-term so that is for the best :)

Really enjoy your posts I must say - upvoted and followed!

I would like to get your thoughts on my latest blog post about future guests on my series, Crypto Nights.

Look forward to hearing from you.

Alex

Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ 

Perhaps this is the best time to buy Steem ^^

Β  Β· Β 7 years agoΒ Reveal Comment