New: macroeconomicsAll contenthive-129948hive-196917krzzansteemhive-183959hive-180932photographyuncommonlabhive-166405hive-185836hive-150122hive-183397hive-144064bitcoinlifehive-188619hive-103599krsuccesshive-139150hive-101145hive-124908hive-184714hive-109690hive-145157TrendingNewHotLikersbitcoinsight (35)in technicalanalysis • 2 months agoTechnical Analysis vs. Fundamentals: Which is Better for Traders?In the world of trading, one of the most common debates is whether "technical analysis" or "fundamental analysis" (including macroeconomic factors) is more important. While both approaches offer…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • 11 months ago🇺🇸 economic calendar in Jan 2024Source: Investing.com Yesterday, the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims was released. The figures look stable in the recent few weeks. Source: Investing.com Today, the U.S. Unemployment…zakariababaali (31)in macroeconomics • 11 months ago🇺🇸 Exciting news ahead! The upcoming release of the 📈 US GDP(QoQ) and initial jobless claims has everyone on the edge of their seats.This month's forecast stands at 5.2%. Even if the number slightly dips below, it's a reassuring sign of the robustness of the US economy. Amidst talks of an impending recession this year, these…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • 11 months agoThe FedWatch Tool shows that market participants anticipated the federal funds rate cut more than 3 times.Powell, the chairmain of the Fed, said that there will be the interest rate cut 3 times next year. However, it seems that market participants don't agree it. Well, the most important thing is…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • last yearDelinquency rate on credit card loans and all comercial banks is rising.Source: fred.stlouisfed.org When the delinquency rate was rising, recessions came out. Now, the rate is higher than COVID-19, which means people not capable of paying principal and interest…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • last year🇺🇸 Initial Jobless Claims was released yesterday.The result is 231k. It's higher than expected. In the recent months, the Initial Jobless Claims have been increased. But, it's not much figures with respect to the absolute value. The next…bonleofen (33)in macroeconomics • last yearUnraveling the Impact of Expansionary Fiscal Policy in an Open EconomyNavigating the complexities of macroeconomics at the graduate level requires a deep dive into intricate scenarios. One particularly challenging scenario revolves around implementing expansionary…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • last yearThe probability of the federal funds rate pause surged.. 😲Several days ago, the probability was around 60%. However, it turns out the increase after the below news. It seems that after 10 years bond yield increased, they implied the federal funds rate…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • last yearAre you bored of this bearish market?This bearish market is the longest compared to the previous bearish markets. Yeah.. it's really boring. Well, I think that the more I endure it, the more I can make it. In 2018, 2019 and the…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • last yearU.S. 🇺🇸 3 months bond yield is almost ATH.Since Nov 2021, the bond yield has been increasing. Now, the bond yield is around ATH(All Time High). It seems that it's on the top. A few days ago, market participants anticipated the…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • last yearThe next recession is coming? 🤔When the trucking employment started falling, recessions came out. Is it a coincidence? 🤔 I don't think so. Before falling the employment, corporates have a lot of inventory. So, they don't need to…artium (37)in macroeconomics • last yearFed exec: Too soon to talk about another rate hikeFed exec: Too soon to talk about another rate hike WHAT : Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin isn’t yet ready to place his bets on the Federal Reserve’s next policy move…josevas217 (79)in hive-150122 • last yearThe impact of macroeconomics on the crypto marketHello respectable Steem Alliance community , I hope all members are doing very well and have had a very interesting and productive week. I have been evaluating some interesting and informative…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • last yearIt's weird that the market participants anticipate that the Fed will cut the Federal Funds Rate next month Nov.Source: CME FedWatch Tool Powell who's the chairman of the Fed said that it would be possible to raise the interest rate once this year. So, I thought that the remark means this November…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • last yearTake a look at the S&P 500 index and the unemployment rate chart.When the 🇺🇸 unemployment rate increased, the S&P 500 also increased. I think it's related to the monetary policy. When the unemployment increases, the Fed tends to change the monetary policy…happycapital (86)in macroeconomics • last yearTake a look at the S&P 500 index and the unemployment rate chart.When the 🇺🇸 unemployment rate increased, the S&P 500 also increased. I think it's related to the monetary policy. When the unemployment increases, the Fed tends to change the monetary policy…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • last yearGlobal liquidity vs BTC price chart is interesting 😲Since 2011, Global liquidity has been increasing, and the similarity of BTC price is very high. Well, someone said the BTC price is not related to BTC halvings. They said it's associated with global…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • last yearHow were the market conditions for 1 month after the federal funds rate cut?Year Market conditions 1922 bullish 1929 bearish 1930 bearish 1932 bullish 1937 bearish 1938 bullish 1949 bullish 1953 bullish 1957…punimadevi (26)in recession • last yearsteemCreated with Sketch.What Could Potentially Trigger the Next RecessionPredicting the exact trigger for the next recession is a challenging task, as economic downturns result from a complex interplay of factors. However, some potential triggers to watch for…happycapital (86)in hive-103599 • last yearWhat's gonna be a trigger for the next recession?Since 2005, The office vacancy rate is ATH(All Time High). Compared to 2008 when the Subprime mortgage crisis unexpectedly happened, it's even higher than that time. The latest recession was…